Long-term energy demand and supply projections and evaluations for Turkey

Abstract

Energy demand of countries changes depending on many socioeconomic factors like their population, the level of social and economic development, industrialization, urbanization, and technological development. In the past decade, economic growth and social development in our country has led to increased energy consumption. Accordingly, the amount of energy needed must be provided to realize the economic growth and social development in time, satisfactory, uninterrupted and taking into account the environmental impact. For this reason, it is necessary to determine and prioritize alternative energy strategies. This study used 1970-2011 energy data from Turkey's Energy-Balance Tables and developed long-term energy-demand projections for Turkey as a Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System Program. Two scenarios for Turkey's energy demand were created and their results evaluated. In addition, scenarios were created such that the renewable energy resources' ratios, which are solar, wind, hydro, and geothermal energy, etc., are increased in total energy supply, and their results were evaluated for energy demand and for electricity generation.