Publication:
Fitting Lanchester equations to the battles of Kursk and Ardennes

dc.contributor.authorLucas, Thomas W.
dc.contributor.buuauthorTürkeş, Türker
dc.contributor.departmentTıp Fakültesi
dc.contributor.scopusid6504358843
dc.date.accessioned2021-09-06T12:55:33Z
dc.date.available2021-09-06T12:55:33Z
dc.date.issued2004-02
dc.description.abstractLanchester equations and their extensions are widely used to calculate attrition in models of warfare. This paper examines how Lanchester models fit detailed daily data on the battles of Kursk and Ardennes. The data on Kursk, often called the greatest tank battle in history, was only recently made available. A new approach is used to find the optimal parameter values and gain an understanding of how well various parameter combinations explain the battles. It turns out that a variety of Lanchester models fit the data about as well. This explains why previous studies on Ardennes, using different minimization techniques and data formulations, have found disparate optimal fits. We also find that none of the basic Lanchester laws (i.e., square, linear, and logarithmic) fit the data particularly well or consistently perform better than the others. This means that it does not matter which of these laws you use, for with the right coefficients you will get about the same result. Furthermore, no constant attrition coefficient Lanchester law fits very well. The failure to find a good-fitting Lanchester model suggests that it may be beneficial to look for new ways to model highly aggregated attrition.
dc.identifier.citationLucas, T.W. ve Türkeş, T. (2004). “Fitting Lanchester equations to the battles of Kursk and Ardennes”. Naval Research Logistics, 51(1), 95-116.
dc.identifier.endpage116
dc.identifier.issn0894-069X
dc.identifier.issue1
dc.identifier.scopus2-s2.0-1142268984
dc.identifier.startpage95
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1002/nav.10101
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11452/21711
dc.identifier.volume51
dc.identifier.wos000189081400006
dc.indexed.wosSCIE
dc.language.isoen
dc.publisherWiley
dc.relation.collaborationYurt dışı
dc.relation.journalNaval Research Logistics
dc.relation.publicationcategoryMakale - Uluslararası Hakemli Dergi
dc.rightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/closedAccess
dc.subjectOperations research & management science
dc.subjectLanchester equations
dc.subjectBattle of Kursk
dc.subjectCombat models
dc.subjectAttrition
dc.subjectModel validation
dc.subjectAttrition models
dc.subjectCampaign
dc.subjectCombat
dc.subjectLaw
dc.subjectMathematical models
dc.subjectMilitary engineering
dc.subjectMilitary operations
dc.subjectOptimization
dc.subjectOperations research
dc.subject.scopusMiss Distance; Battle of Britain; Warfare
dc.subject.wosOperations research & management science
dc.titleFitting Lanchester equations to the battles of Kursk and Ardennes
dc.typeArticle
dc.wos.quartileQ3
dspace.entity.typePublication
local.contributor.departmentTıp Fakültesi
local.indexed.atScopus
local.indexed.atWOS

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